Forecast the Bundesliga ranking this season, and the outcome of every match. But no black boxes allowed: here’s how to model under football-level uncertainty, honestly and traceably. You’ll learn to predict matchdays with a model whose every prediction traces back to its drivers, calibrate its confidence, and watch it drift as form, injuries and transfers play out. (This same discipline that keeps a model honest in football keeps it trustworthy once it leaves demo stage at your company.)